Delhi Covid-19 Update — Some Good News, Under New Management  

After enduring three long months of confusion, confinement, disease, alarm and death, the good residents of Delhi may finally have a reason to smile.Latest data shows that, ever since the Central government stepped in to take charge of the capital’s dire health situation in mid-June, the Wuhan Virus epidemic is being brought under control at long last.With that, a welcome sense of firm resolve and clear purpose is also now evident in Delhi’s epidemic data trends.

This is in direct contrast to most of May and early June, when Chief Minister Kejriwal, instead of aggressively ramping up testing levels, let rates dip in an unacceptable lapse of leadership.Delhi paid the price for that with human lives.The data does not lie:

This turnaround is also directly reflected in positivity, which, today, is the single most important parameter for epidemic assessment.

No state may claim that it has broken the chain or flattened the curve, even if case counts are down, unless it also shows that positivity rates are dipping consistently downwards.

Thus far, only Madhya Pradesh has this distinction.

In Delhi, on the other hand, positivity had actually declined to 7 per cent by mid-May, when fortunes reversed and the curve began to spike alarmingly.

Note how the green Delhi line in the chart above has formed a plateau. For comparison, see the steep rates at which the Telangana (maroon) and Maharashtra (black) curves are rising.

For perspective, see how the dark blue Madhya Pradesh curve has settled into a consistent, declining trend.

Note that in this combination plot, the green, daily cases Y-axis, and the cumulative cases X-axis, are in logarithmic scale, while the black, positivity curve is plotted on a Cartesian scale.

(All data from Covid19india.org and MoHFW)