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China will increasingly leverage its dominance over supply chains to wage a form of competition that falls below the threshold of open conflict.
India’s industrial ambitions, from building a global electronics base to becoming a major defence exporter, are now facing a slow but methodical stranglehold. The pressure isn’t coming from domestic policy missteps or global demand shortfalls. It is being engineered, behind the scenes, by China.
China’s export denial strategy has become a powerful tool of economic coercion. Its goal is not to provoke openly but to undermine gradually.
The tactics vary but follow a consistent pattern...