World
Hillary and Trump.
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Key figures at this stage:
Utah called for Donald Trump with six electoral votes. Now he is 244-215 ahead in the electoral vote.
MI: With 80 per cent of votes in, Trump leads by 77,000
Az: 65 per cent of votes in, Trump leading by 60,000
PA: 97 per cent of votes in, Trump is ahead by 51,000
NH: Clinton ahead by 700 votes, with 87 per cent of votes in
Minnesota: 84 per cent of votes in, Clinton leads by 71,000 votes
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With 85 per cent of votes in, Trump is still leading by over 90,000 votes in Wisconsin. Democrats were hoping they would make up some of the deficit in Milwaukee County, but that has not happened.
With 96 per cent of votes in, Trump leads Clinton by just under 50,000 votes in Pennsylvania.
Clinton is leading by 25 votes in New Hampshire.
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A quick stat check:
Michigan: With 75 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 34,000
Wisconsin: 83 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 86,000 votes
Arizona: 64 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 60,000
Utah: 29 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 81,000
Penn: 93 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 25,000
Minnesota: 77 per cent votes in, Clinton leads by 90,000
Maine: 75 per cent votes in, Clinton leads by 17000
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It is now more likely that Donald Trump is winning. CNN has put Trump ahead with 232 electoral votes, against Clinton's 209. This leaves Trump just 38 votes from victory.
It is time to think about President Donald Trump.
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Clinton takes Oregon. Donald Trump will win four of the five electoral votes in Nebraska.
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Fox News projects Trump will carry Florida.
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One reason why Clinton has done less well than before is because the women vote has been less than enthusiastic even though it was Trump who was the misogynist. Exit polls show that women voted lower for Clinton than expected.
Commentators on CNN are now asking not what is Trump's road to 270 but what is Clinton’s path to the White House.
Earlier, it was said that no Republican has made it without Ohio. This time not only has Trump wrapped it up, but is now threatening Democratic sure-wins like Michigan and Wisconsin. The buzz is that these two states will decide the presidency, and Trump is leading in both places.
Even in Pennsylvania, where Clinton is winning, her margins are nowhere near where it was expected. With CNN giving California with 55 votes to Clinton, she is ahead with 197 votes to Trump's 171. But this is without counting Florida, which is clearly heading Trump's way with 29 votes. This will put him ahead by a nose at this stage.
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CNN reports Donald Trump takes North Carolina (15 electoral votes). This is a significant win for Trump, as this was a swing state. It went for President Barack Obama in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012.
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As per CNN, Hillary Clinton takes California with its massive 55 votes. Trump takes Idaho (four votes).
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CNN projects Colorado for Hillary Clinton. These are nine more much-needed votes for Clinton.
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CNN projects Virginia for Hillary Clinton
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MI 32 % Trump leading by 35 k
Wi 42 % Trump leading by 28 k
Fl 95 % Trump leading by 1.35 lakhs
Arizona 52 % Trump leading by 33k
NC 84 % Trump leading 1.44 lakhs
NH 47 % Trump leading by 10k
Virginia 87 % HRC leading by 55k
Colarado 65 % HRC leading by 92 k
Iowa 19% HRC leading by 54k
Pennsylvania 51 % HRC leading by 1.67 lakhs
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Hillary Clinton wins New Mexico while Donald Trump wins Missouri. He is leading the electoral vote by 149-109.
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R Jagannathan: Trump has reached half his target of the needed electoral college majority of 270 with 139 votes more or less in the bag. Clinton is behind at 104, but is doing well in Pennsylvania while California is still to come. But Trump seems likely to win Florida, and we cannot rule out some legal tangles if the margin is low. But that seems unlikely unless the margin is down to a few hundred votes. Ohio is more or less a win for Trump.
In terms of popular vote, Trump is more than a million votes ahead, scoring 48.9 percent to Clinton's 48 percent.
This race is close and Trump is still in it, pushing Clinton hard.
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Stats:
Ohio: 67 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 3.94 lakh
Virginia: 83 per cent votes in, Clinton leads by 15000
Florida: 95 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 1.05 lakh
NH: Trump ahead by 5,000 with 41 per cent votes in
Michigan: 24 per cent votes in, Trump ahead by 50,000
Wisconsin: Trump ahead by 50,000 with 28 per cent votes in
In nationwide popular vote Trump is leading by 1.1 million votes.
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Some more numbers:
Florida: With 95 per cent votes in, Trump leading by 1.12 lakh
Virginia: 80 per cent votes in, Trump leading by 10,000
Georgia: 50 per cent votes in, Trump leading 3.65 lakh
Michigan: 20 per cent votes in, Trump up by 41,000
NH: 30 per cent votes in, trump leads by 1,800
Wisconsin: 21 per cent votes in, Trump leading by 43,000
Colorado: 51 per cent votes in, Clinton leading by 88,000
Pennsylvania: 25 per cent votes in, Clinton leading by 2.69 Lakh
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Even if Trump loses, there is little doubt that he has put up a strong showing, suggesting that America wants change, real change.
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Some more interesting stats:
Florida: 94 per cent of votes in, Trump leads by 1.3 lakhs
Ohio: 53 per cent 2.35 lakh lead for Trump,
Virginia: 77 per cent votes in, Trump leads by 42,000
Georgia: Trump leading by 3.8 lakh, 41 per cent votes in
Michigan: 17 per cent votes in, Trump leading by 29,000
New Hampshire: 22 per cent votes in , Trump ahead by 900
Wisconsin: 12 per cent votes in, Clinton leads by 25,000 votes
Colorado: 42 per cent votes in, Clinton ahead by 55,000
Pennsylvania: 17 per cent of votes in, Clinton leading by an impressive 1.54 lakh
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Even if Clinton finally wins, it cannot be said that Trump was a walkover, as many commentators in India predicted. He has pulled ahead significantly in Ohio, which is probably in the bag. In New Hampshire, it is neck-and-neck, and Florida seems to go into the Trump side. MIchigan is giving Trump some hopes, also Virginia.
In short, very few surprises so far. If the polls hold, it means Clinton will become the first woman to win the presidency. But it is still too early to call this election.
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Donald Trump is now leading 128-97 in the electoral college map.
In Ohio, Trump leads by 1.85 lakh votes with 45% of the votes in. Trump also leads by 80,000 votes (with 70% votes in) in Virginia. North Carolina will be another cliff-hanger. Trump currently leads by 20,000 votes with 75% of the votes counted.
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R Jagannathan: Donald Trump now looks likely to carry Florida by a small margin, and Ohio is back in his leads. Clinton is set to carry New York, and Pennsylvania does not look likely to pull any surprises.
So does Trump have a path to the White House? Not yet. No great surprises, but one or two negative ones
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In Ohio he is leading by 52,000 with 39 % of votes in. Trump leads Georgia by 3.4 lakh votes (29 % votes in).
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Donald Trump will win Kansas, Nebraska, Wyoming, North Dakota and South Dakota.
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Similar story in North Carolina as her lead which was 1.3 lakh at one time is now down to less than 50,000 votes.
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Polls will close in 14 more states minutes from now including the home state of of both candidates.
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Ohio: Clinton up by 50,000 with 34 per cent of votes in.
North Carolina: Clinton’s lead is narrowed to 66,000 votes with 61 per cent of votes in. Trump is again pulling healthy margins in the smaller rural areas.
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But the trends clearly show that the pollsters may well be right, with Clinton winning it. Trump is the one who is slipping.
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Trump has built the lead of 63,000 in Florida with 91 per cent of votes in.
Trump is leading in Virginia by 130,000 votes with 45 per cent of votes in.
Michigan: Hillary leading by 20,000.
In Texas, almost half the votes in, Clinton is leading by 56,000
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Important race alert: Tammy Duckworth defeated incumbent Republican senator to win the senate seat in Illinois. Marco Rubio has won retained his seat in Florida.
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The next half hour will tell us if Donald Trump has lost Florida, and right now, it seems like he will indeed lose it, with more than three-quarters of the votes in, and Clinton leading 49-48. Clinton seems to be doing better than how Obama did in many of the counties in 2012. This means the Hispanic vote is swinging strongly in favour of Clinton. If Trump finally loses Florida, it means that his tirades against Hispanic immigration has cost him a shot at the presidency.
In North Carolina, another must-win state, Clinton is ahead, and also on Ohio, right now. CNN is projecting the states of Rhode Island, Maryland, Delaware, Massachusetts, Illinois, and District of Columbia for Clinton, while Trump is ahead in Oklahoma, Mississippi, and one or two more smaller states.
It is possible that Trump is going to lose.
6.38 AM IST
With early votes coming in from the Democratic stronghold of Franklin county in Columbus, Clinton leads Trump in Ohio. 16 states and DC closing now.
Oklahoma, Tennessee and Mississippi are all called for Donald Trump.
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If Trump loses Ohio, it may well be game over, but it is early hours yet, and Clinton is in the lead. Ohio is a must-win for Trump, and this state has been on the winning side for 28 out of 30 presidential races. This time it could be different, if Trump wins Ohio and loses the presidency. But then this time the race is different from all previous ones.
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North Carolina: Trump leads by 52,000 votes with 10% of votes in.
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Popular vote update - So far Donald Trump has won 38.30 lakh votes against 32.56 lakh for Clinton.
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Alerts at this hour show Trump and Clinton neck-to-neck in Florida, and Trump ahead in Georgia, but a Trump adviser has been quoted as saying that "it will need a miracle" to pull off a win. Are Trump advisors beginning to accept the inevitability of defeat? Trump has won West Virginia, as expected.
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With 30 per cent of votes in, Clinton is ahead by about 50,000 votes. Twenty nine electoral votes are at stake here. The northern part of the state that is considered conservative leaning is yet to come in so we can still see a close contest here.
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In sharp contrast, Trump has not had the enthusiastic backing of his own party, with many past Republican presidents even saying they may not vote for him. This is what makes him a true disrupter, for he has broken the mould of the two-party system. Trump's support is not the traditional Republican vote. He is losing some of it, and gaining some from the Democrats too.
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But the sobering thought is this: America's problems run deep, from economy to social and demographic composition. The long-term trend is towards a gradual loss of White power, which means this is one of the last elections in which they can make a difference. It also means that post-Trump, the Republicans have to reach out to the reality of this demographic shif
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The New York Times has confirmed that
- Hillary Clinton Wins Vermont
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Election trivia:
If Hillary wins tonight as she is expected to and if she fails to carry Ohio, as the polls show - she will be the first president since John F Kennedy to reach the White House without going through Ohio. In the last 30 elections, Ohio has sided with the winner an amazing 28 times.
If Trump wins tonight, he will be the first man since Gen Eisenhower to become President without holding any public office prior. Of course, Eisenhower was a distinguished General of the Allied forces in second world war.
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It is obvious that this race is Clinton's to lose. The early trends - in Kentucky and Indiana - show Trump ahead, but these are two sure states for Trump. No surprises here. Indiana is the state of Trump's running mate Mike Pence. The race will not be decided here, but in key battleground states like Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, Nebraska, and New Hampshire. If Trump has to win he has to win them all, and if Clinton is to win, she has to win just one.
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“It’s happening at various places today, it’s been reported,” he said. “The machines, you put down a Republican and it registers as a Democrat, and they have had a lot of complaints about that today,” The Washington Post quoted Trump as saying during a telephone interview on Fox News.
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Voting in the US presidential election has begun to close in some of the East Coast states, with Indiana and Kentucky to be the first ones. These two will be followed by six other states in the next hour or so. At Swarajya, we will be closely following the results in this live blog. Stay tuned for updates!
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