Swarajya Logo
Swarajya Logo
Politics States Economy Society Business Culture Infra Defence World Books Ideas Science Technology Heritage Archives Legal Movies Sports
  • Our Views
    Politics States Economy Society Business Culture Infra Defence World Books Ideas Science Technology Heritage Archives Legal Movies Sports
  • Magazine
  • Store

About Swarajya

Swarajya is a publication by Kovai Media Private Limited.

Swarajya - a big tent for liberal right of centre discourse that reaches out, engages and caters to the new India.

editor@swarajyamag.com

Useful Links

  • About Us
  • Subscriptions Support
  • Editorial Philosophy
  • Press Kit
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Code of Conduct
  • Plagiarism Policy
  • Refund & Cancellation Policy

Useful Links

  • About Us
  • Subscriptions Support
  • Editorial Philosophy
  • Press Kit
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Code of Conduct
  • Plagiarism Policy
  • Refund & Cancellation Policy

Participate

  • Contact Us
  • Write for us
  • Style Guide
  • Jobs

Stay Connected

  • Artboard 2 Copy 6Created with Sketch.
    Artboard 2 Copy 10Created with Sketch.
    Artboard 2 Copy 7Created with Sketch.
    Artboard 2 Copy 9Created with Sketch.
  • Andriod Logo
  • IOS Logo

Politics

India Has Been Plain Lucky

Sharad BailurThursday, February 11, 2016 10:07 am IST
Article Hero Image
Article Hero Image

In some ways India has been an extraordinarily lucky nation. Right from the pre-Independence era, we have faced major political problems and, throughout, this country has had good luck, nothing else, coming in as its knight in shining armour, most often at the last moment. This does not happen to other countries. The two countries that became independent along with India on the same day — Pakistan and Bangladesh — have had histories that prove the opposite. So have our other neighbours: Nepal, Burma (Myanmar) and Sri Lanka (formerly Ceylon).

Let us begin with Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi. He proved such a spectacular success because he had faith in the ‘essential goodness of human nature’. An essential concomitant of this faith was that British nature was susceptible to moral blackmail. It worked on the British. It would not have worked on the Germans or any other European imperial power or, say, the Taliban, the al Qaida or the LTTE, or even our own home-grown Naxals. In essence, he was the right man in the right place dealing with the right enemy. If not luck, what was it?

Immediately after Independence, the problem of integrating the various princely states emerged. And precisely at that time it was Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel who took up the task and ensured that it all happened with no bloodshed, in spite of the fact that various princes like the Nizam of Hyderabad, the Raja of Rampur and the Nawab of Junagadh had other ideas. India as a new nation was then so weak that it could easily have gone the other way but for the fact that we had the right man in the right place at the right time. If not luck, what was it?

Meanwhile in Pakistan, Mohammad Ali Jinnah died within months of its gaining independence. His lieutenant, Liaquat Ali Khan, became the prime minister and, like so many since, was assassinated. And within six years after that, General Ayub Khan sent the fledgling democratic setup packing. Pakistan continues to be a political mess to this day.

Patel (L) and Nehru (R) with Liaquat Ali Khan (centre)
Patel (L) and Nehru (R) with Liaquat Ali Khan (centre)
Patel (L) and Nehru (R) with Liaquat Ali Khan (centre)

By contrast, the Indian ship of democracy continued to sail serenely guided by Nehru and his team. We then did something wrong-headed. Indira Gandhi was no economist. To her, socialism was a mantra and a ritual to be blindly followed. It was on her advice that Nehru had allowed the economy to be dominated by the public sector with the call for it to hold the “commanding heights”. As a result, after he died, Indira Gandhi nearly messed it up. It warranted a PV Narasimha Rao to pull the country out of the economic disaster into which it was heading. Again we had the right man in the right place at the right time to do the job. And he had an able lieutenant in Manmohan Singh. If this was not luck again, what was it?

We have done a great many wrongheaded things. Succumbing to the demand for a linguistic division to form new states was one of them. So was Shah Bano. So was the Golden Temple. So was the IPKF in Sri Lanka. So was Operation Brasstacks. Each time there has been no dearth of people in power who would cheerfully have led us down the path to disaster without even realising it. Each time the nation has veered away from that disaster with little or no damage. If not luck, what was it?

Indira Gandhi’s persecution complex, the famous Allahabad High Court judgment against her and Jayaprakash Narayan’s call for a “partyless democracy” in 1973 led to her imposition of the infamous Emergency after JP called for the armed forces and the police to revolt. Politically it appeared that the country was finally and inevitably going down the drain. It could easily have been the gangster-in-the-making, Sanjay Gandhi, whose will could have prevailed. Better sense prevailed however, and Mrs Gandhi lifted the Emergency and called for elections, which she promptly lost. If not luck, what was it?

Article Hero Image
Article Hero Image

But democracy won.

Even though we got a disaster of a prime minister in Morarji Desai and a worse government in the Janata Party, the first promptly asked for the nuclear programme and the Research and Analysis Wing (R&AW) to be wound up on the grounds that both were engaging in immoral activity. His salvation with his own god was more important to him than the security of India. The nuclear establishment said “Yes, but…” and the programme was mothballed — but it stayed, as did the R&AW. Luck again?

As a result, Rao was in a position to advise AB Vajpayee, his successor, to go ahead and test the weaponised bombs that we had built. Hence Pokharan II in 1998. All this because of a disastrous decision that was not implemented despite the insistence of Morarji Desai! Had both really been wound up the programme, we would have been heroes among the Taliban, Pakistan, the Communist parties in India among sundry others, but we might not have been a nation. Luck again?

Article Hero Image
Article Hero Image

Then, the 123 agreement that Manmohan Singh had with President George Bush in 2006 and the dropping of the embargo on nuclear trade by the NSG as a result of which we are among six nations that can openly and legally trade in nuclear materials and import nuclear technology without having signed the NPT or the CTBT. Luck again?

The global economic meltdown and its effects on India similarly also seems to have the hallmarks of natural caution and economic prudence aided by good luck. Even if we manage a 7 per cent growth rate, it is more than double that of the 3 per cent that we managed for decades right up to 1994.

It did not take very long for the long parade of men with no foresight, beginning with Desai and ending with the somnolent Deve Gowda, to play ducks and drakes with the country. The problem of international terror was then only a distant mist vaguely trying to become a cloud on the far horizon. How would Deve Gowda have dealt with it, if he had dealt with it at all? Luck again?

The four major wars fought with Pakistan were all fought under strong prime ministers: Jawaharlal Nehru, Lal Bahadur Shastri, Indira Gandhi and Atal Bihari Vajpayee. Had a war been fought when Deve Gowda, IK Gujral, Charan Singh or even VP Singh was prime minister, the fate of this country can easily be imagined. Indira Gandhi was the right head of India’s political executive fighting the right war in the right place with the right enemy at the right time. Luck again?

Now to the question: Depending upon good luck calls for a successful gambler’s instinct, which, as a nation, we do not have. No nation does. We bumble from one near-disaster to another and, miraculously, as it were, we have till now veered away when we were on the edge. When that luck fails, as it inevitably must, if we go merely by statistical probability, what is India going to do? How will it survive?

The question is not as frivolous a matter as it might appear. The nation must ponder on this issue. Dealing with good luck, like dealing with goodness in human nature, is easy. It calls for no extra effort. Good luck takes care of itself, and of the nation. Laws are made to deal, not with the goodness of human nature, but to prevent the badness of human nature from doing its worst. We must set in place systems and procedures that rise above political and religious compulsions to deal with a long run of national bad fortune from doing its worst, as a national priority.

How can we think of reforming our electoral processes to make it more representative without giving it over as a hostage in fractured mandates to small, two-bit political outfits that sit in judgement in so-called coalition governments? How long before we take up electoral reform to deal with this travesty of democracy? If we don’t, how long before it destroys India’s democratic framework and, with it, the nation itself? The fact that the nation threw up a BJP with a full majority is again a matter of good luck, since only some 31 per cent voted in its favour.

With the Congress placing all its eggs in the Dynasty basket, it would seem that it is headed for a fade out. It has not done, nor is it likely to do, anything to reverse this growing conviction. That leaves a political vacuum that cannot be filled by the sundry socialists of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar or the caste-based parties or the regional parties in other states. Worst of all, it cannot be filled by the raucous Aam Aadmi Party. What is needed is either a revival of the Swatantra Party or a new party with ideological leanings similar to C Rajagopalachari’s political organisation. If this gauntlet is not picked up, now that the time is ripe, the luck that has saved the nation time and again will start to desert it. Once deserted, the nation will have a hard time getting it back again.

Tags
Mahatma Gandhi
Vallabhbhai Patel
Swatantra Party
Ayub Khan
IK Gujral
Indira Gandhi
Atal Bihari Vajpayee
Liaquat Ali Khan
VP Singh
Jawaharlal Nehru
Narasimha Rao
Muhammad Ali Jinnah

Comments ↓

An Appeal...


 

Dear Reader,

 

As you are no doubt aware, Swarajya is a media product that is directly dependent on support from its readers in the form of subscriptions. We do not have the muscle and backing of a large media conglomerate nor are we playing for the large advertisement sweep-stake.

 

Our business model is you and your subscription.  And in challenging times like these, we need your support now more than ever.

 

We deliver over 10 - 15 high quality articles with expert insights and views. From 7AM in the morning to 10PM late night we operate to ensure you, the reader, get to see what is just right.

 

Becoming a Patron or a subscriber for as little as Rs 1200/year is the best way you can support our efforts.

Get Swarajya in your inbox.


Magazine


Swarajya Magazine Cover Image
Merchandise

Merchandise


    Politics

    Rahul Gandhi To Miss Parliament's Winter Session? Trips Planned To Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam: Report

    Rahul Gandhi To Miss Parliament's Winter Session? Trips Planned To Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam: Report

    Nishtha Anushree
    12h

    Tamil Nadu Dashboard: ED Summons To Dist Collectors Stayed By Madras HC; Senthil Balaji Refused Bail On Medical Grounds

    Swarajya Staff
    13h

    State Elections: 18 Per Cent Candidates Grapple With Criminal Cases, Maximum In CPI (M), BRS Next, Reveals Report

    Nayan Dwivedi
    14h

    Economy

    Automobile Retail Sales Hit Record 3.793 Million Units This Festive Season, Surging 19 Per Cent YoY: FADA Report

    Automobile Retail Sales Hit Record 3.793 Million Units This Festive Season, Surging 19 Per Cent YoY: FADA Report

    Nayan Dwivedi
    19h

    Public Sector Is Finally Beginning To Shine Under Modi's Ministrations

    R Jagannathan
    2d

    India's Divestment Struggles Continue As Government Falls Short Of Targeted Proceeds For Fifth Consecutive Year: Report

    Nayan Dwivedi
    5d

    Defence

    Indian Army To Upgrade Its Firepower With 200 Mounted Howitzers And 400 Towed Guns

    Indian Army To Upgrade Its Firepower With 200 Mounted Howitzers And 400 Towed Guns

    Swarajya Staff
    17h

    Islamabad, Ankara Work On Boosting Military Ties; Plan To Locally Manufacture Turkish Origin Anti-Tank Missiles In Pakistan

    Swarajya Staff
    2d

    Strengthening Capabilites In The Central Sector Opposite China, IAF Considers Acquiring Three Air Strips In Uttarakhand: CDS Anil Chauhan

    Swarajya Staff
    2d

    World

    Bangladesh: Why A Strong And Secular Opposition Is Necessary For Protection Of Hindus In That Country

    Bangladesh: Why A Strong And Secular Opposition Is Necessary For Protection Of Hindus In That Country

    Jaideep Mazumdar
    14h

    "Cheering Terrorism, Violence?": TIME Called Out For Playing Down SFJ Founder Pannun's Threat Against Air India

    Nishtha Anushree
    14h

    US Shares 'Legally Presentable' Intelligence, Canada Provides Mere 'Allegations' In Assassination Plots, Says Indian High Commissioner Verma

    Nayan Dwivedi
    19h

    Culture

    M P N Ponnusamy: A Nagaswara Legend Passes Away Almost Unsung

    M P N Ponnusamy: A Nagaswara Legend Passes Away Almost Unsung

    K Balakumar
    13h

    Streamlined Repatriation: India-US Deal To Fast-Track Return Of Stolen Antiquities

    Swarajya Staff
    2d

    Questioning Trend Of Weddings Abroad, PM Modi Bats For Local Weddings, Products To Boost Economy

    Swarajya News Staff
    2d
    States

    infrastructure


    Tushar Gupta
    1

    Border Roads Organisation (BRO): The Silent Force Behind The Uttarakhand Tunnel Rescue Operations

    5 Mins Read
    V Bhagya Subhashini
    2

    Explained: What Is Rat-Hole Mining — Vital Technique Used In Uttarkashi Tunnel Rescue Operation

    3 Mins Read
    V Bhagya Subhashini
    3

    Karnataka: Bengaluru's Rs 377 Crore World-Class Transformation Of Yeshwantpur Railway Station On Fast Track

    2 Mins Read
    V Bhagya Subhashini
    4

    Telangana Rapid Transit: Rs 55,400 Crore Project Aims 60-Minute Connectivity Between Hyderabad And Major Cities Of State

    2 Mins Read