Economy
Sougat Chakraborty
May 13, 2025, 12:17 PM | Updated 12:40 PM IST
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A few days ago, a podcast was released where an Army Veteran spoke about the horrific attacks in Pahalgam that took place on 22nd April 2025. The Army Veteran explained how Terrorism can be a low-cost, high-impact strategy for asymmetric warfare which provides Pakistan plausible deniability.
This was not a typical discussion; rather, it was a more thoughtful examination of how Bharat should address the current national security challenges and counter Pakistan's attempts to undermine J&K’s development—and more importantly, Bharat's growth trajectory.
Could Jammu and Kashmir become a leading destination for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Bharat? It may seem like a distant, fanciful dream—but it is not. With a fresh lens on complex challenges, the author's column invites a new look at the region's investment potential.
For at least the last three decades, the prevalent narrative surrounding Jammu & Kashmir has been a complex assortment woven with threads of breathtaking natural beauty, rich cultural heritage, and the undeniable shadow of geopolitical conflict. While its appeal as a premier tourist destination has remained constant, a transformative vision is taking concrete shape: to reposition J&K as a vibrant, diversified, and secure "Alternate Investment Universe."
This initiative transcends simple economic goals. It represents a crucial strategic move to establish enduring peace and unparalleled prosperity in Jammu & Kashmir, thus fostering its deeper integration into Bharat's ambitious growth narrative. The moment is opportune to look beyond historical perceptions and explore the swell of opportunities that promise to redefine J&K's economic and social landscape.
The abrogation of Article 370 on August 5, 2019, marked a constitutional and political watershed, setting the stage for a new chapter in J&K's journey. This decisive step, aimed at fostering complete integration and extending all provisions of the Indian constitution, has been pivotal in dismantling previous barriers to investment and administrative alignment.
The reorganisation of the erstwhile region into two Union Territories – Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh – was architected with the stated goals of ushering in stability based on modernity, the rule of law, accountability, and peace.
Beyond Tourism: Unveiling New Investment Frontiers
The traditional image of J&K, while enchanting, often overshadows its latent potential in diverse, modern sectors. Envisioning J&K as a hub for Data Centers, Special Economic Zones, cutting-edge Tech Parks, Defence Startups, and advanced manufacturing isn't a far-fetched dream but a pragmatic roadmap.
Considering the significant global demand for Data Centers, J&K's naturally cool climate presents a significant operational advantage, potentially slashing the substantial energy costs associated with cooling infrastructure, an expense that can constitute over 40% of a data center's total energy consumption.
If Microsoft can establish a major data center in Poland, leveraging its climate, the question arises: why not Srinagar or other suitable locations in J&K? Coupled with the region's largely untapped renewable energy potential, particularly hydropower, J&K could offer sustainable and cost-effective solutions for data storage and processing.
The agricultural sector, too, is ripe for transformation. Beyond traditional horticulture, the focus is shifting towards high-value organic farming of exotic fruits and niche products like saffron, which already commands a premium globally. The development of integrated agro-processing zones, cold chains, and direct market linkages can significantly enhance farmer incomes and create ancillary industries.
Furthermore, the strategic importance of J&K makes it a prime candidate for developing a robust Defence Manufacturing and Technology ecosystem. Encouraging defence startups and establishing dedicated defence corridors can cater to the specific needs of armed forces operating in high-altitude and challenging terrains, fostering indigenous innovation and self-reliance.
The vision extends to establishing Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and Tech Parks designed to attract investment in IT/ITeS, electronics manufacturing, and other knowledge-based industries. The availability of a young, educated demographic, coupled with targeted skill development programs, can provide the necessary human capital for these ventures.
Ambitious, yet achievable, goals include attracting Semiconductor Fabrication Plants and Electric Vehicle (EV) Battery Manufacturing Units, which, while capital-intensive, would be transformative for the region's industrial landscape.
With a population of over 12.3 million (as per the provided reference prior to recent census data), J&K has a significant human resource pool. Connecting this populace, especially the youth, with new economic opportunities is critical for long-term stability and growth.
Addressing the Security Dimension: Facts over Perception
No discussion about investment in J&K can sidestep the question of security and stability. The perception of the region as a "sensitive, militarized zone" often deters potential investors.
However, this perception needs to be juxtaposed with the reality of a significantly improved security environment. A robust, multi-layered security apparatus, comprising the Indian Army, Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), J&K Police, and various intelligence agencies, maintains a vigilant watch.
This enhanced security, ironically, makes J&K one of the most closely monitored regions, offering a degree of protection that is often understated. The argument that air travel became demonstrably safer post-9/11 due to heightened security measures holds a parallel here.
Data indicates a sharp decline in terrorism-related incidents. Incidents of stone pelting and street violence, which once frequently disrupted normal life, have become negligible. Organized bandhs and hartals are also significantly down.
Perhaps one of the most telling statistics is the sharp decline in local recruitment into terrorist outfits, which fell from 199 in 2018 to just 12 in 2023. The number of overall militancy-related incidents, civilian deaths, and security force casualties has shown a consistent downward trend from 2018 through 2023, as illustrated by data from sources like the South Asia Terrorism Portal.
For instance, total incidents of killing dropped from 271 terrorists/insurgents/extremists in 2018 to 87 in 2023, with further significant reductions in early 2024. Civilian deaths in such incidents also saw a marked decrease from 86 in 2018 to 30 in 2022 and further down to 12 in 2023. Security force casualties similarly declined from 95 in 2018 to 30 in 2022 and 4 in 2023.
This improved security matrix is attributed to a more robust and proactive security grid, better intelligence coordination, and a firm stance against terror financing and support networks. The direct administration as a Union Territory has also, arguably, allowed for more decisive and centrally coordinated security measures.
The Path Ahead: Sustaining Momentum, Building Trust
The transformation of Jammu & Kashmir into a thriving economic hub is a journey that requires sustained effort and collaboration. The central government's commitment is evident in various development packages and policy initiatives. The legal and administrative changes post-Article 370 abrogation, including the extension of 106 central laws and repeal or modification of numerous state laws, aim to create a uniform and predictable regulatory environment conducive to business.
The Supreme Court of India, in its landmark judgment on December 11, 2023, unanimously upheld the government's decision to abrogate Article 370, deeming it a temporary provision and affirming the President's power to revoke it. This judicial affirmation provides further legal clarity and certainty.
For investors, the narrative is shifting from one of caution to one of cautious optimism. The focus on improving infrastructure – power, connectivity, logistics – remains paramount. Continued engagement with the local population, ensuring that they are active participants and primary beneficiaries of this economic resurgence, is crucial for fostering long-term peace and inclusivity.
The delimitation process, which increased assembly seats for the Jammu region (from 37 to 43) and Kashmir (from 46 to 47) and for the first time reserved nine seats for Scheduled Tribes, is another step towards broader political representation.
The emergence of new political parties and an increase in political participation, as seen in DDC and Panchayat elections, indicate a renewed faith in democratic processes. This positive political participation, with people turning away from separatist politics towards mainstream national politics, is a cornerstone for sustainable development.
An Invitation to Partner in Progress
Jammu & Kashmir is at an inflection point. The concerted efforts to enhance security, implement economic reforms, and strengthen democratic institutions are laying the foundation for a prosperous future.
The narrative is decisively moving from conflict and uncertainty towards development and opportunity. This "Alternate Investment Universe" is no longer a distant dream but an unfolding reality.
It is an invitation to investors, entrepreneurs, and all stakeholders in Bharat's growth story to partner in scripting a new chapter of economic revival and enduring peace for the crown of Bharat.
The twin evils of fundamentalism and separatism are being replaced by secularism and nationalism; violence and hatred by peace and amity. While challenges remain, particularly in ensuring the complete eradication of terrorism's underlying roots, the trajectory is clear and the potential immense.
The author is an IIMA Alumni with deep interest in National Security, International Relations, Public Policy & Governance. He also has a certification in Terrorism and Counterterrorism, a course of study offered by GeorgetownX, an online learning initiative of Georgetown University. (On X: @sougat18)