After cutting India's sovereign ratings, Moody's Investor Services on Thursday (14 November) cut India's growth forecast to 5.6 per cent, from its earlier 5.8 per cent due to subdued consumer demand, along with sluggish liquidity supply.
Accordingly, the ratings agency revised downwards its growth forecast for India to 5.6 per cent in 2019, from 7.4 per cent in 2018.
"We expect economic activity to pick up in 2020 and 2021 to 6.6 per cent and 6.7 per cent, respectively, but the pace to remain lower than in the recent past," the ratings agency said in Global Macro Outlook 2020-21.
"India's economic growth has decelerated since mid-2018, with real GDP growth slipping from nearly 8 per cent to 5 per cent in the second quarter of 2019 and joblessness rising."
In the current slowdown consumption demand has "cooled" notably, the ratings agency said.
Last week, Moody's had changed the outlook on the Government of India's sovereign ratings to negative from stable and affirmed the Baa2 foreign-currency and local currency long-term issuer ratings.
Moody's had also affirmed India's Baa2 local-currency senior unsecured rating and its P-2 other short-term local-currency rating.
India's credit rating at Baa2 is the second-lowest investment rating and Moody's has warned that India could be heading for a debt trap and recessionary phase.
(This story has been published from a wire agency feed without modifications to the text. Only the headline has been changed.)
An Appeal...
Dear Reader,
As you are no doubt aware, Swarajya is a media product that is directly dependent on support from its readers in the form of subscriptions. We do not have the muscle and backing of a large media conglomerate nor are we playing for the large advertisement sweep-stake.
Our business model is you and your subscription. And in challenging times like these, we need your support now more than ever.
We deliver over 10 - 15 high quality articles with expert insights and views. From 7AM in the morning to 10PM late night we operate to ensure you, the reader, get to see what is just right.
Becoming a Patron or a subscriber for as little as Rs 1200/year is the best way you can support our efforts.