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Swarajya Staff
May 12, 2018, 07:54 PM | Updated 07:54 PM IST
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The polling for Karnataka elections has concluded and exit polls over the results have started pouring in.
While the numbers are varying widely, here’s a gist of the predictions by different agencies,
#KarnatakaElections2018 | CVoter Exit poll projects BJP as the leading party with 97-109 seats https://t.co/b2yCKFIKbi pic.twitter.com/k7nTfDYE18
— EconomicTimes (@EconomicTimes) May 12, 2018
Poll of exit polls shows BJP leading with 98 seats, Congress 88, JDS 33
— NDTV (@ndtv) May 12, 2018
Watch special coverage LIVE now on https://t.co/Fbzw6n8LeF and NDTV 24x7 #ElectionsWithNDTV #KarnatakaElections2018
*Health warning: exit polls often get it wrong pic.twitter.com/YIItOPT2bv
#KarnatakaElections2018 | Times Now-VMR Exit poll projects Congress at 90-103 seats https://t.co/NecsU3AjUg pic.twitter.com/XsiyTkICBC
— EconomicTimes (@EconomicTimes) May 12, 2018
#ABPExitPoll: BJP likely to emerge as the single-largest party in #KarnatakaElections2018
— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018
BJP- 97-109 seats (41% vote share)
Cong- 87-99 seats (39% vote share)
JDS- 21-30 seats (17% vote share)
(First cut is based on voting till 2pm) pic.twitter.com/Ys9hAXQxsk
#KarnatakaElections2018 | Republic-Jan Ki baat Exit Polls project BJP at 95-114 seats https://t.co/b2yCKFIKbi pic.twitter.com/2zmODa8gBW
— EconomicTimes (@EconomicTimes) May 12, 2018
#KarnatakaElections2018 | Axis-My India Exit poll also projects Congress as the leading party at 106-118 seats https://t.co/b2yCKFIKbi pic.twitter.com/vOjaSXVwxv
— EconomicTimes (@EconomicTimes) May 12, 2018
So, while most of the polls are predicting that the BJP will emerge as the single largest party in Karnataka, none has predicted a clear majority for either of the parties. The role of JD(S) as a kingmaker, hence, seems all the more certain. The parties require 113 seats to form a government on their own.
However, the predictions will come as a shock to the BJP which seemed all but certain to seize power in one of the last big states the Congress is still in power.
Voting percentage is not optimal for the BJP across the state. Some refactoring maybe necessary.
— Dr Praveen Patil (@5Forty3) May 12, 2018
However, as with any election, the exit polls should be taken with a grain of salt. The counting of votes is scheduled for Tuesday, 15 May. The state has witnessed a 73 per cent voter turn out, which is higher than the 70.2 per cent recorded in 2013.
Whichever way the results go, they are sure to impact the Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan state elections scheduled for later this year and the national elections to be held in 2019.