Politics

'Karnataka Election 2023' Updates: Axis My India Predicts Clear And Comprehensive Congress Victory

Swarajya Staff

May 10, 2023, 06:13 PM | Updated 10:37 PM IST


Exit polls have been predicting an edge to the Congress.
Exit polls have been predicting an edge to the Congress.

Let's catch you up with all the exit poll numbers and insights streaming in:

8:12 pm: Axis My India's exit poll numbers:

Congress: 122 - 140

BJP: 62 - 80

JD(S): 20 - 25

Others: 0 - 3

Here is a table showing all the major predictions.

7:15 pm: According to India Today, the Indian National Congress (INC) has an upper edge over the BJP in the Hyderabad Karnataka region.

The numbers are as follows:

  • Congress: 32

  • BJP: 07

  • JD(S): 01

  • Others: 0

7:08 pm: CNN-News18 target numbers:

BJP: 95

Cong: 102

JD(S): 24

Others: 03

7:06 pm: ABP C-Voter numbers exit poll:

BJP: 83-95

Congress: 100-112

JD(S): 21-29

Others: 2-6

7:00 pm: News Nation-CGS exit poll:

  • BJP: 114

  • INC: 86

  • JD(S): 21

  • Others: 03

6:58 pm: ABP-CVoter exit poll for Old Mysuru Region:

Vote shares:

  • BJP: 26 per cent

  • Cong: 38 per cent

  • JD(S): 39 per cent

Seats:

  • BJP: 0-4

  • Cong: 28-32

  • JD(S): 19-23

6:52 pm: According to psephologist Pradeep Bhandari, the Bajrang Bali comments have helped consolidate Hindutva votes in the coastal region.

6.50 pm: Zee News exit poll:

  • BJP: 79-94

  • Congress: 103-118

  • JD(S): 25-33

  • Others: 2-5

Jan Ki Baat-Suvarna exit poll:

  • BJP: 94-117

  • Congress: 91-106

  • JD(S): 14-24

  • Others: 0-2

Republic exit poll:

  • BJP: 85-100

  • Congress: 94-108

  • JD(S): 24-32

  • Others: 2-6

6.39 pm: Anti-incumbency factor not showing in the coast

  • According to the India Today–Axis My India exit poll, the anti-incumbency factor isn't in play in coastal Karnataka as the BJP is set to remain strong.

  • The projections so far are 16 seats for the BJP, three seats for the Congress, and zero for the JD(S) and Others.

6.00 pm: Polling for all 224 of the Karnataka Assembly seats concluded at 6 pm, this evening.

The results will be out on 13 May.

However, before that, multiple news agencies and psephologists will come out with their numbers through exit polls and other exercises.

Stay tuned for further updates.

Meanwhile, this was Swarajya's forecast, and how it compared to other predictions:

How the Swarajya forecast stacks up in comparison to a number of surveys
How the Swarajya forecast stacks up in comparison to a number of surveys

You can read all about it here.

Also, you can read all about the Karnataka election in Swarajya's 'Karnataka 2023' dashboard.

Also read:

-How Bommai-led BJP government deftly navigated caste cauldron to reconfigure reservation matrix in Karnataka

-Bold gambit by BJP government to carve out internal reservation within Dalit quota may queer pitch for Congress

Swarajya's series on the electoral history of Karnataka and predictions for 'Karnataka 2023'

-Karnataka: Understanding the great 2019 reset

-How can the BJP lose in Karnataka?

-In maps: An electoral history of Karnataka

-The JD(S) finally enters terminal decline

-Karnataka 2023 — a matter of margins

-Karnataka 2023 — the reality of triangularity

-Karnataka 2023 — vote share tranche analysis

-Karnataka 2023: Here's what this prominent opinion poll needs to explain


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